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Slide 1
MAIN MESSAGE: Bets we made are coming true.
INTERNET
Three years ago the Internet just began to appear Now.."www" is the new area code.
Internet - 200 million users today; 350M by 2002
$3.2 trillion in e-commerce by 2003; Represents 5% of ALL global sales
13.7% of all stock trades in the U.S. are now done on-line
Amazon.com does in 3 years with one website and one warehouse what took
Wal-Mart 15 years to do with 78 stores ($500M in revenues)
JAVA
Java is SS7 equivalent; Java has become the defacto application platform for
the delivery of services on the web
BANDWIDTH
Bandwidth - 6.8M cable modems & 3.4M DSL subscribers by 2002
Doubling every 3-4 months, surpassing Moore's law; Don't bet against bandwidth
In George Gilder's July '99 Technology Report he states "...Lucent already possesses
the knowledge to cram 864 fiber-optic strands, each carrying 5 trillion bits per second
into one cable sheath. The next decade may find 4.3 pedabits/second traveling down
that solitary pipe - - enough to beam a family reunion in holographic form into every
living room in Manhattan."
99-0901. 15
ECF Zander
9/3/99
At Sun, the network has always been at the center of everything we do--and will do. We've always been ahead of the curve, and we're keeping you ahead of the curve with investments in three key areas: massive scalability, realtime response, and continuous service availability for business agility.
Massive scalability: We've gone beyond x-axis and y-axis scalability and taken a comprehensive approach to ensuring virtually unlimited scalability of system resources. With our new interconnect, we've also ensured that our systems are using big pipes for high throughput. You'll hear the details as we discuss our new system architecture and the UltraSPARC III platform later in this presentation.
Real-time response: This is a function of multiple technologies working together in concert--from fast processors to a low-latency, high-bandwidth interconnect, to symmetric multiprocessing (SMP) technology, to the multithreaded capabilities of the Solaris Operating Environment, to applications that are tuned for real-time performance.
Continuous availability: Sun recognizes that continuous uptime is achieved through people, processes, and products, not simply reliable hardware and software. Most outages still result from operator error or inadequate processes, not physical failures. Through our advanced RAS features, our integrated hardware and software stack, clustering techniques, comprehensive service, education, and support programs, Sun delivers on the requirements for continuous availability.
Agility: Over time we have introduced a series of technologies and programs designed to ensure business agility, including dynamic resource management, real-time reconfiguration, rapid redeployment, and rapid service delivery capabilities. In addition, we have provided the innovative Capacity On Demand program which enables customers to add key system resources on the fly over the network. And we protect customers' investments through continued binary compatibility as well as a variety of trade-in, trade-up, and upgrade programs.
Now we’re making three new bets, and we’re confident they’ll pay of f.
•It is no longer acceptable to implement hardware and software as point products. In the dot-com age, it all has to work together. Network services are central, hardware and software systems should be peripheral. We’re focusing our development efforts on integrated, binary compatible hardware and software lines that let you focus on your services, not the underlying platforms they run on.
•The Jupiter (NetEffect) launch shows some of what we mean by this. The infrastuctural components will be integrated for you – firewalls? Add your own rules. Web Servers? Add your content and design. Database and storage needs? Sun/Oracle/Veritas can package the underlying system, just add your schema and data.
•This does not mean that we become a systems integrator. It also doesn’t mean that customers can buy a business in a box—they still have work to do! If you think back to earlier days, we had to write basic system code to get our servers to recogise our printers, and we had to tell each computer how to find every other computer. Now, those are integral parts of the OS, and we take them for granted. The key components of the new computing systems will migrate just like DNS and print services into normal parts of our stack.
•The Internet age is about immediacy, and that’s why we’re committed to driving latency out of the network completely. We’re dedicated to making network services continuously available, at high performance, any time, anywhere, on virtually any device.
•Our Service Driven Network is part of this bet, as is the new hardware line with it’s fault resiliance and redundancy and our software offerings with
•From an IT perspective, the dot-com age creates new challenges for meeting unpredictable demand for network services. We’re focusing our efforts on massive scalability so that you have instant headroom in resources--so that your Web site can take a pounding and keep delivering services at peak performance.
•
Everything we’re doing, from Project Genesys, to SOlaris enhancements, to our iPlanet story, and our entire architectural vision combine to make a unified, coherent vision of where technology is leading and hoe to get our customers there.
This slides further explains the six different webs:
1) The Traditional Web computer, keyboard, screen
2) The Entertainment Web sit on your couch, be entertained, ambient intelligence, follow-me system, story telling, video games, mobile music
3) The Pervasive Computing Web machines talking to machines, Jini, federations, wired or wireless electric, processor, memory, communication free, processor free, memory free
4) The eCommerce Web business to business, business to consumer, machines talking to machines
5) Pocket Communicator Web follows you around, in your pocket, personal communicator, system on glass, my: position, profile, surrounding, context, cell phone? clipping?
6) The Voice Activated Web voice activation, agents, bots, studs, always on, contiguous real time ("Dick Tracey" web)
Remark: a slide set based on the six webs will be available shortly
We shall explore the way forward by discussing our predictions for the future, which should help you prepare to be ahead of your competition, as, in the new networked economy, being first is often the only way to survive.
It is essential that access to the Net should be as easy and reliable as picking up a telephone. We have come to expect dialtone when we pick up a telephone handset, in almost any county that we visit. Dialtone already fits the 4 A's, with Anyone (ie my 3 year old daughter) being able to phone from Anywhere at Anytime on AnyPhone, the difference with our Vision is that it should be applicable to any device.
1. Java Technologies is the industry standard for wireless data services. ETSI (European Telecommunication Standards Institute) and 3GPP (3 rd generation partnership project) have adopted J2ME/MIDP, JavaPhone/JavaPhone & JavaCard as wireless standards.
2. All the major handset manufacturers such as Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, Ericsson, Siemens and others are integrating Java Technologies into their handsets. Chris Galvin, Motorola’s CEO, claims that by 2002, most, if not all Motorola handsets will have Java Technology.
3. Operators are beginning to deploy Java-enabled handsets and services this year. Big news includes NTT DoCoMo’s launch of their new Java-enabled I-mode services. Within the first few days of the launch, all of the Java-enabled handsets were sold out. LG Telecom is also deploying Java-enabled handsets and services now. Other operators around such as Vodafone, One2One, Sprint PCS, Nextel, Telefonica, Omimitel, SmarTone, Far Eastone and many other operators are all planning to roll out Java-enabled handsets and services.
4. JavaCard has been adopted as GSM SIM standard and many operators such as Telecom Italia Mobila, Fgrance Telecom, Swisscom, Hong Kong Telecom, Telefonica, Chungwa Telecom, Tele Denmark Mobil, Telecel have already deployed Javacard into their networks.
5. Java has been adopted as the standard for digital interactive television around the world with standards groups such as DVB (Digital Video Broadcast)in Europe, CableLabs in the US & DTVIA in China.
6. Automotive companies such as GM, Ford, DiamlerChrysler have all showcasedvehicles that uses Java Technologies for Telematics.
7. OSGI (Open Service Gateway Initiative), an independent working group focused on defining open standards for gateway devices hasadopted Java Technologies and defined their 1.0 specification based on Java. Through this initiative, we expect to see Java Technologies as the underlying platform for devices such as set top boxes, cable modems, residential gateways & invehicle gateways
8. In addition to the adoption of JavaCard in wireless, JavaCard has also been adopted by 30+ smart-card manufacturers representing over 90% of the world’s card manufacturing capability. Over 100 million Java Cards shipped in CY 2000 and we expect 250 million units to ship in CY 01. Financial services companies such as Amex & Visa are on course to issue between 10 – 20 million Java Cards in CY01.